Assumption Mapping
Every project has assumptions. This exercise makes them visible. Write down what you think you know. Be honest about what's validated versus what you hope is true. The riskiest assumptions are often the ones you don't realize you're making.
- Reveal hidden assumptions treated as facts.
- Distinguish between knowledge and guesses.
- Prioritize assumptions that could kill the project.
- Create a testing plan for unknowns.
- Build shared understanding.
- A documented list of assumptions ranked by risk.
- Critical assumptions are identified for validation.
- Team understands the difference between knowledge and guesses.
Senior people's assumptions often go unquestioned. The sticky note format helps level the playing field. During placement, ask for disagreement: 'Does anyone see this differently?'
Teams overestimate their evidence. Challenge them. 'We did research' doesn't mean you validated this assumption. Be specific about what counts: behavioral data beats stated preferences.
If risk is debated, that's a red flag. Someone knows something others don't, or there's a strategic disagreement. Don't ignore it.
This is useless without follow-through. Assign owners and deadlines for the top 3 tests before leaving. Track them. I've seen teams ignore what they learned.
Start the conversation
Be the first to share your thoughts, experiences, or questions!